WSJ | CFO Journal: Wall Street Bonus Bonanza; Plus, U.S. Trade Deficit Widens

Good morning. In the battle for top financial centers in the U.S., the latest bonus season looks promising for New York City and the state. The nation's biggest banks have been reporting gangbuster profits so far; third-quarter results will come next week, when investors and finance professionals will get the latest clues on the health of financial services firms, my colleague Ben Glickman reports.

The industry overall is on pace for more than $90 billion in profits, according to fresh data from New York State Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli. That in turn is good for the upcoming bonus season-and regional finance professionals and the local economy. I asked Ben why:

What is driving this record bonus boom?

Bonuses track with Wall Street's results, more or less, and times are very, very good in finance. Markets are volatile, which is good for banks' businesses facilitating trades on behalf of clients, and the AI boom demands seemingly endless new financing. (JPMorgan Chase) CEO Jamie Dimon last quarter literally said, "It's getting close to as good as it gets."

Why is this trend such a positive measure for New York City and the state?

The securities industry is a big source of tax revenue for New York City and the state (especially so for the latter, because the state doesn't have the benefit of local property tax revenue). Securities industry taxes last year were about one-fifth of all state tax collections. Every year, when laying out each entity's budgets, officials make projections about how income, and thus taxes, will fare. The state now expects the bonus pool to grow, when it previously expected a decline year-over-year.

Texas has been looking to grow its finance industry and rival New York. Does the fresh data tell us anything about its progress?

Texas is the third-ranked state for finance employment, but it's growing faster than New York on a percentage basis: From 2019 to 2025, it grew nearly 26%, compared with New York's 12% growth. So, Texas' efforts to woo new stock listings and attract offices from major financial institutions have produced some results. But in terms of actual numbers, New York employs the most people in the securities industry by a sizable margin, and in the first quarter of 2026 it added nearly double the finance jobs that Texas did. There's still plenty of work to do.

Dive deeper

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Live Coverage: Wall Street Gets Some Good News on Bonuses

The Day Ahead

Earnings

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-- Levi Strauss

Economic Indicators

The Federal Open Market Committee releases the minutes from its mid-September monetary policy meeting.

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What Else Matters to CFOs

The U.S. trade deficit widened in August to its biggest in more than a year, with the U.S. buying more products like crude oil, gold and semiconductors from abroad.

The trade gap in goods and services widened by 14% in August from the prior month to a seasonally adjusted number of roughly $106 billion, the Commerce Department said Tuesday.

That marked the highest level since March 2025, when companies were racing to import goods early in President Trump's second term to get ahead of tariffs.

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-- Google and Constellation Energy Strike a Sweeping Nuclear-Power Deal

-- Exclusive: Venture Firm Behind Chip Startup Groq Targets $10 Billion Megafund

-- Exclusive: AI-Computing Startup Lambda Is Raising $4 Billion in Final Round Before Planned IPO

-- FlyDubai Attacker Was Part of Pilot Hiring Spree at Fast-Growing Airline

-- Eurozone Retail Sales Edge Higher Despite Slump in Fuel Sales

Earnings wrap-up

-- Lamb Weston Says Cost-Saving Efforts Are Paying Off

-- Shell's Refining Margin Soars to Record High

-- Mercedes-Benz Car Sales Fall on China Market Weakness

For more earnings news, click here.

Quotable

"The consumer willingness to buy is very low. If you are not confident, the car is probably one of the things you say: Let's keep this car another year."Volvo Chief Executive HÃ¥kan Samuelsson, regarding the U.S. consumers appetite for purchasing cars, during an interview with The Wall Street Journal.

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